Why Dak Prescott Is a Smart Bet to Lead the NFL in Passing Touchdowns in 2025
Dak Prescott at +1500 to lead the league in passing touchdowns isn’t just a long shot—it’s a calculated value play. He’s got the weapons, the volume, and the motivation to surprise the field.
Offensive Setup Is Built for TDs
- New WR duo: CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens give Prescott elite separation and red-zone versatility.
- Pass-heavy scheme: Brian Schottenheimer is dialing up more vertical concepts, and the RB room lacks a true workhorse—meaning more throws near the goal line.
- Game script boost: With Dallas’ defense expected to regress, shootouts and comeback drives will be common.
Prescott’s Efficiency + Volume = Upside
He quietly threw 28 TDs last year despite conservative play-calling. If he pushes 650+ attempts in 2025, 35+ touchdowns is well within reach. That’s the range where TD leaders live.
Prescott isn’t the favorite—but he’s the best value. You’re betting on a proven QB in a pass-first system with elite weapons and a chip on his shoulder.
Final Take
If you’re building a futures card, this is the kind of bet that can swing your season. It’s not about chasing hype—it’s about spotting mispriced upside. And Dak checks every box.
